AI Portfolio & Investment Roadmap
Portfolio roadmap with AIR readiness, GENOMIA dependencies, and WINS stress so capital commits against tested futures.
Why this engagement exists
Capital is committed to AI before anyone knows which use cases pay, which teams are ready, and which bets fail under stress. The result is a portfolio of funded initiatives with no tested investment logic — and no way to show which commitments survive adverse scenarios.
What it looks like in your organization
- AI capital is allocated by momentum rather than quantified return.
- The portfolio has no stress-tested view of which bets fail under adverse conditions.
- Dependencies between bets, teams, and systems are invisible until they break.
- Investment committees approve AI spend without a readiness or scenario picture.
What we do and how it works
AIR profiles the portfolio’s readiness. GENOMIA maps the organization the capital has to land on. WINS stress-tests the investment thesis under adverse futures — compute is estimated, then billed on actuals. The output is a roadmap an investment committee or board can fund against tested, not assumed, futures.
The engagement includes
- Portfolio scoping and AIR band configuration
- GENOMIA structural and dependency mapping
- Quantified ROI hypotheses per use case
- WINS stress test of the investment thesis
- Sequenced commit roadmap for IC or board
What you take away
Every deliverable is named, formatted, and tied to the outcome it enables. Nothing ships as a deck with no use.
Prioritized AI investment roadmap
RoadmapThe portfolio sequenced by quantified return, readiness, and dependency order — ready for capital allocation.
Investment commits in an order that maximizes payoff and minimizes failure cascades.
Portfolio stress-test results
Stress-test reportEach major bet tested under adverse scenarios with break points identified.
The IC knows which commitments survive stress and which do not.
Readiness and dependency map
Dependency mapTeams, systems, and dependencies that gate each investment, mapped through GENOMIA.
Capital is not committed into structural failure points.
Executive-ready portfolio narrative
Briefing deckThe investment logic, sequence, and stress results framed for IC or board decision.
The funding conversation runs from tested evidence, not projections alone.
How this engagement runs
Scope the portfolio
Week 1Business unit, division, or enterprise — the AIR band is set to that scope, and the portfolio’s bets are listed explicitly.
A priced, explicit list of what the roadmap will cover.
Map structure and readiness
Weeks 1–3GENOMIA maps the organization the capital must land on; AIR profiles the readiness of each bet’s landing zone.
Every bet is understood in the context of the structure that must absorb it.
Stress the capital plan
Weeks 3–5WINS stress-tests the investment thesis under adverse scenarios. Compute is estimated at configuration, then billed on actuals.
The portfolio’s failure modes are known before capital commits.
Sequence the commit
Weeks 5–6The roadmap is sequenced and assembled for IC or board, with a readout and handoff.
A funding sequence an IC or board can approve against tested futures.
How the fee is built
The engagement fee moves on three multipliers — sensitivity, involvement, and organization type — and the platform units the work consumes are their own lines. Nothing is hidden inside a flat number.
Sensitivity
×0.90 – ×1.30 on the engagement feeSensitivity sets the handling envelope around the whole engagement: how data moves, where evidence lives, who can touch it, and what containment we must maintain. Higher sensitivity means cleared handling, segregated evidence, and slower, more deliberate operations — real cost that a flat fee would hide.
Open information. Standard handling, no containment overhead.
Proprietary business information. NDA-grade handling and controlled evidence storage.
Compliance-bound data. Framework controls and audit-ready evidence handling shape the work.
Defense-grade pathways. Cleared handling, boundary containment, and evidence segregation inside your perimeter.
Involvement
×0.85 – ×1.35 on the engagement feeInvolvement is how much Multipolar operator time is on the hook. Counsel at checkpoints is a different commitment than embedded delivery inside your team, your systems, and your cadence. The multiplier tracks senior hours actually committed — not a markup.
We advise and interpret; your team executes. Senior counsel at defined checkpoints.
We run the engagement end to end, with your stakeholders at the decision points.
Embedded delivery. Our operators work inside your team until the outcome is actually in place.
Organization type
×0.85 – ×1.25 on the engagement feeThe same technical work lands differently depending on who is buying it. Federal and defense engagements carry procurement, compliance, security review, and stakeholder alignment that a mid-market engagement does not. The multiplier prices the coordination and accountability surface, not the analysis.
Fewer stakeholders, faster decisions, lighter coordination overhead.
The baseline: standard commercial engagement surface.
Public-sector procurement and multi-agency stakeholder surface.
Investment-platform cadence: deal-driven timelines and IC audiences.
Joint-delivery and enablement motions with partner delivery teams.
Assurance functions: evidence standards and underwriting audiences.
Federal procurement, compliance crosswalks, and multi-office alignment.
Mission-critical review, security handling, and acquisition-process alignment.
Scope & scale of platform units
The largest component of most totalsEvery engagement consumes platform units — CYBAIR workloads, AIR organization bands, GENOMIA twins, WINS scenarios, SiliconAIR systems. Units track your estate, not our appetite for flat pricing: an 8-workload assessment and a 50-workload assessment are different engagements and are priced as such. You set the scope in the configurator; the total moves with it, and nothing is quietly under-scoped to fit a number.
Simulation compute
Estimated until configured · billed on actualsWINS simulations carry real compute costs that scale with scenario count, branching depth, and campaign length. A focused single-scenario game and a sustained multi-agent campaign are orders of magnitude apart. Facilitation and after-action are in the fee; compute is estimated once the game is configured, then billed on actuals — you pay for what actually runs, never a padded average.
Platform units in this engagement
Units track your estate, not our appetite for flat pricing. You set the scope; the total moves with it. Each unit below is consumed by this engagement and billed as its own line.
The organization or portfolio profiled against the AIR readiness ontology, sized by headcount and portfolio breadth.
The size of the organization being assessed: people, portfolios, and the systems that matter. A 200-person shop profiles at the Small band; a 10,000-person multi-portfolio enterprise profiles at Large or Extra-large.
The organizational twin: people, skills, systems, dependencies, and projects modeled as a living graph.
Headcount or agency count sets the size band; structural complexity multiplies it. Multi-system, contested, or mission-critical environments cost more to model because they are more to model.
The simulation campaign: scenario families, adjudication, facilitation, and after-action.
How many scenario families the decision needs and whether the game is a focused exercise or a sustained campaign. Compute is estimated after configuration and billed on actuals.
What the engagement fee covers
- Scoping, workshops, and interpretation
- Every deliverable listed on this page
- Cross-framework mapping where the package includes compliance
- Executive translation — board, program-office, or IC language
- Handoff and a defensible next-step recommendation
What it does not cover
- Platform units consumed by the work (shown as their own lines)
- WINS simulation compute (estimated, then billed on actuals)
Frequently asked questions
Either. We profile the portfolio you scope — one business unit, one division, or the enterprise. The AIR band and GENOMIA sizing follow that scope.
Ready to brief us on the AI Portfolio & Investment Roadmap?
We choose who we work with and confirm scope, capacity, and final pricing in the briefing.