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MISSION-READY SPECIFICATION|ID: WARGAMING-SCENARIO-SIMULATION
//WINS · decision rehearsal

Wargaming & Scenario Simulation

WINS games on your actual decision nodes. Facilitation is the engagement; compute is estimated, then billed on actuals.

TYPE:Exercise / EngagementTIMELINE:2–4 weeksCLEARANCE:CONFIDENTIAL TO RESTRICTED
ARCHITECTURAL CONTEXT & INTERVENTION

Operational Friction & Multipolar Mandate

Why traditional ad-hoc approaches fail at scale, and the precision protocol deployed to resolve it.

⚠SYSTEMIC VULNERABILITY // THE PROBLEM

Why this engagement exists

Strategy is rehearsed in workshops, not simulations. When the environment moves — a competitor, a regime change, a supply shock — the organization improvises, because the decision was never tested against branching futures before it had to be made.

HOW IT MANIFESTS IN YOUR ORGANIZATION4 FAILURE MODES
  • ✕Major decisions are made from best-case assumptions that nobody has tested.
  • ✕Scenario planning is a whiteboard exercise with no branching and no consequences.
  • ✕When the environment moves, leadership convenes a crisis meeting instead of running a rehearsed response.
  • ✕The organization has no shared picture of what happens under each plausible future.
⇄RESOLUTION PROTOCOL
✓MULTIPOLAR INTERVENTION // WHAT WE DO

Engineered scope & execution

We configure WINS on your actual decision nodes — market, alliance, capital, industrial policy — and run the futures with your people in the room. Facilitation and after-action are the engagement. Compute is estimated once the scenario is configured, then billed on actuals. You leave with decision paths and playbooks, not a workshop summary.

CORE ENGAGEMENT INCLUSIONS5 WORKSTREAMS
  • ✓Decision framing: the actual choice and its consequences
  • ✓WINS scenario configuration on your decision nodes
  • ✓Facilitated game sessions with your senior players
  • ✓After-action analysis with consequence mapping
  • ✓Decision paths and playbooks for each tested future
TANGIBLE OPERATIONAL ARTIFACTS

What You Take Away

Every deliverable is named, structured, and tied to an immutable operational outcome. Nothing ships as a slide deck with no longevity.

01SCENARIO CONFIGURATION

Configured WINS scenarios on your decision nodes

The decision framed and configured in WINS with the scenario families that matter to it.

⚡STRATEGIC OUTCOME

The game tests your actual decision, not a generic scenario.

02RESULTS + CONSEQUENCE MAP

Simulation results and consequence map

What happens under each branch: second- and third-order consequences mapped per option.

⚡STRATEGIC OUTCOME

Leadership sees the downstream of each choice before committing.

03PLAYBOOKS

Decision paths and playbooks

Proactive and reactive paths per tested future, written as executable sequences.

⚡STRATEGIC OUTCOME

When the environment moves, the response is rehearsed, not improvised.

04OPERATING PICTURE

Shared operating picture

One frame across leadership: the decision, the futures, the agreed responses.

⚡STRATEGIC OUTCOME

Future strategy conversations run from the same map.

PHASED OPERATIONAL EXECUTION

How This Engagement Runs

Structured gates from initial telemetry and baseline ingestion to verified exit capabilities.

2–4 weeks4 Execution Phases
01
PHASE 01 GATE

Frame the decision

Week 1

The actual choice under analysis is framed with consequences attached. What counts as an answer is agreed before configuration.

DELIVERABLES PRODUCED:
Decision frame
EXIT MILESTONE:
✓A decision worth simulating, precisely stated.
02
PHASE 02 GATE

Configure the game

Weeks 1–2

WINS is configured on the decision nodes. Compute is estimated at this point — you approve it before games run.

DELIVERABLES PRODUCED:
Scenario configurationCompute estimate
EXIT MILESTONE:
✓A configured game with an approved compute budget.
03
PHASE 03 GATE

Run the futures

Weeks 2–3

Facilitated sessions with your senior players. The quality of the game tracks the quality of the players in the room.

DELIVERABLES PRODUCED:
Simulation results
EXIT MILESTONE:
✓Tested consequences for each option under each branch.
04
PHASE 04 GATE

Close with playbooks

Weeks 3–4

After-action analysis turns results into decision paths and playbooks, with guidance for continued WINS use.

DELIVERABLES PRODUCED:
PlaybooksOperating pictureContinuation guide
EXIT MILESTONE:
✓A rehearsed response set and the ability to run future games.
TRANSPARENT UNIT ECONOMICS

Interactive Pricing Studio & Scope Engine

Our pricing is engineered, not asserted. Configure your organization profile and estate parameters to see the exact real-time cost breakdown.

// SCOPE CALCULATOR

Configure Your Parameters

1. ENGAGEMENT PROFILE MULTIPLIERS
2. MODULAR PLATFORM UNITS
TOTAL CONFIGURED INVESTMENT
from $75,000
Base Engagement Fee:$30,000
WINS facilitation · Standard · 2–3 scenario families:+$45,000
WINS compute · estimate until configured; billed on actuals:+$15,000
Inference / Simulation Compute (Est):+$15,000
Brief Us On This Scope →

The fee moves on three objective multipliers—Sensitivity, Involvement, and Org Type. Each factor reflects real operational handling and operator time.

Sensitivity

×0.90 – ×1.30 on the engagement fee

Sensitivity sets the handling envelope around the whole engagement: how data moves, where evidence lives, who can touch it, and what containment we must maintain. Higher sensitivity means cleared handling, segregated evidence, and slower, more deliberate operations — real cost that a flat fee would hide.

Public: ×0.90Confidential: ×1.00Regulated: ×1.15Restricted: ×1.30

Involvement

×0.85 – ×1.35 on the engagement fee

Involvement is how much Multipolar operator time is on the hook. Counsel at checkpoints is a different commitment than embedded delivery inside your team, your systems, and your cadence. The multiplier tracks senior hours actually committed — not a markup.

Light: ×0.85Standard: ×1.00Deep: ×1.35

Organization type

×0.85 – ×1.25 on the engagement fee

The same technical work lands differently depending on who is buying it. Federal and defense engagements carry procurement, compliance, security review, and stakeholder alignment that a mid-market engagement does not. The multiplier prices the coordination and accountability surface, not the analysis.

SMB / Mid-Market: ×0.85Enterprise: ×1.00State & Local: ×1.00VC / PE: ×1.00Partners: ×1.00Auditors / Insurers: ×1.00Federal: ×1.15Defense: ×1.25
OPERATIONAL CLARITY

Frequently Asked Questions

Specific intelligence regarding security clearance, deliverable ownership, platform telemetry, and execution cadence.

You do. Facilitation and after-action are the engagement. Compute is estimated once the scenario is configured, then billed on actuals — you approve the estimate before games run.

DIRECT OPERATOR ACCESS

Have unique mission constraints?

Our engineering leadership reviews technical architectures and custom scoping directly under NDA.

Ask an Operator →
OPERATIONAL READINESS INITIATIVE

Ready to Brief Us on the Wargaming & Scenario Simulation?

We select our client engagements carefully and confirm technical scope, operator capacity, and final pricing directly in the initial briefing.

Request a Briefing→
Confidentiality Guaranteed•Direct Principal Engagement•Rapid Mobilization